LEADERBOARD

The sharpest traders
in prediction markets

Risk-adjusted, time-weighted ROI on resolved Polymarket positions — durable markets only, capital-weighted, shrunk toward the field average so a short streak can't outrank a real track record.

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How the score works

One ranking, sourced from realized, resolved Polymarket trades only. Updated daily.

ROI SCORE  → Realized ROI on resolved Polymarket positions, weighted by capital and recency (90-day half-life), then shrunk toward the field average based on sample size — so a 10-trade streak can't outrank a 300-trade record. Requires 10+ resolved trades to rank.
Ranked on durable markets only — positions resolving weeks or months out. Ephemeral markets (5-minute crypto binaries, same-day parlays) age out of Polymarket's own data before they can be independently re-verified, so they're excluded from the score entirely rather than counted on trust.
🔗Every trade behind this score is checked against real on-chain fills — see the methodology for how.
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